Extreme Punditry

I keep hearing the pundits say that the Clinton campaign built their strategy around one result — a clear victory on Super Tuesday. Then they read these great quotes from the candidate, like this one from back on December 30th: “I’m in it for the long run. It’s not a very long run. It’ll be … Read more

Regular readers of this Extreme Punditry series have probably figured out by now that I’m about as good an election-predictor as my cat Sammy is an umbrella. Which is to say, not very. Even so, even with my poor track record at this whole election-predicting thing, I’m ready to wander out on that limb one … Read more

Yes, and here we are, Fl primary day, and I’m sticking with Mitt in first, Johnny Mac a close second, despite the guv’s endorsement, and Rudy outta the race by tomorrow. Any other other calls out there?

If you’ve been following this race obsessively, you prolly already know that Michigan was stipped of its delegates to the Dem convention for moving their election date up against party rules. Hillary ended up being the only candidate on the ballot. And yes she won. I get a big kick out of the way her … Read more

This interesting column from the LA Times sums up my feelings this week about the Clintons. The trigger for me was watching the most recent debate. In particular, it was watching Hillary in the first half of the debate say things about Obama she knew were broad, already-refuted mischaracterizations, often with a grin. We may … Read more

It’s a dash of a day, but there’s always time to go on record. I’m saying Obama, Clinton, then Edwards in SC (shooting down Edwards chance at an upset 2nd place finish) with Obama winning by 8 points or better and cleaning up in SC delegates. Meanwhile, in FL I’m once again going with Mitt … Read more

Three tough races to call today — South Carolina and Nevada for the GOP and Nevada for the Dems. I’m gonna go Huckabee in SC (Evangelicals slog through the rain and snow), with McCain a close second. Thompson comes in third and is finally allowed to quit the race. Romney takes Nevada for the GOP … Read more

The Republicans have their big Michigan primary today. Some say Romney needs to win here to stay viable. And yes, I’m going to keep betting on Romney. Just try and stop from betting on Romney. You can’t do it. My Romney-betting impulse is simply too strong. And you are too weak. If he actually wins, … Read more

OK, the people of New Hampshire have spoken. Their message: I am a crappy prognosticator. And yes, I have heard them loud and clear, but I’m not done fighting! Much like John Edwards, I will continue to get my butt kicked all the way to the convention! In other news, I’ll confess I was shocked … Read more

I’m doubling down today — echoing my Iowa call by tagging New Hampshire as Obama and, yes, Mitt Romney country. I’m going against the polls a little on Romney, figuring Obama will draw the independents away from McCain. Also, McCain’s snickering digs in the ABC debate undermined his all-American-hero brand. But it’ll be close. I’m … Read more